Poker Quad

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Recent bracelet winner Kyle Bowker was playing the World Series of Poker main event on Wednesday and found himself involved in a pot where he had turned quads and was betting for value on the river. Bowker’s opponent then moved all in.

In No Limit Hold'em, a player has about a 2% chance of having quads by the river while they hold a pocket pair. In No Limit Hold'em, a player has about a 0.001% chance of flopping quads without a pocket pair. Quads are beaten by just three types of hands: 1.

Bowker was ready to insta-call, but he paused and realized that exactly one straight flush combination was a likely holding for his opponent. The board read K 9 7x 7x J.

According to Bowker, he opened with pocket sevens from early position and everything that happened next made a straight flush a very real possibility.

“The next player flatted; the kid who I ended up folding to flatted,” Bowker told Card Player. “The big blind flatted. The flop came K 9 7. I bet 5,000. Fold. Kid in the middle calls. The big blind folds. The turn was another seven.”

Bowker decided not to slow-play his quads. He bet 11,000. The bet was called.

The dealer burned and put the J on the felt.

“I bet 40,000,” Bowker said, “which was pot because I felt like he had the nut flush draw and got there on the river. And then he moved all in for 98,000 in total.”

Despite getting a great price on the call, which wasn’t even for his tournament life, Bowker went into the tank. Every summer there are waves of criticism about tanking in tournaments, but sometimes thinking about a hand for what feels like an eternity to other players is justified.

“I was just going to put the money in, but I sat back and thought about it,” Bowker said. “I was quite sure he liked the river card, and he was a three-bettor, so he would have three-bet me preflop if he had kings and he probably would have three-bet me preflop if he had jacks. So, like nines was one of the hands, but I was very sure he wasn’t made on the flop or the turn and he liked the river card. So now it’s pocket jacks or Q 10, and I just really felt like he would have either three-bet preflop with jacks or not have gotten to the river with jacks. There was a zero-percent chance he was bluffing, so I thought it was really likely that it was the Q-10 of spades.”

Asked about the seven minutes he spent in the tank, Bowker said it was “way the most time I’ve ever taken for a poker hand.” The clock ended up being called on him.

“While I was thinking about it I was thinking that I was crazy, like ‘What am I doing in the tank for seven minutes with quads,’ but when it can only be a few hands: kings, jacks, nines, Q 10, and I can rule out some of those hands almost for sure, it just became a fold in my head.”

Bowker exposed the sevens when folding, and his opponent didn’t show. The tabled responded in utter disbelief, according to Bowker. “They didn’t think it was real.”

“He told me later that he had it,” Bowker said. “But he said he would have also shoved nines full on the river. But you never know for sure. He could have been lying to me.”

Bowker agreed with the notion that if his opponent didn’t have the straight flush he likely would have tabled a hand that inexplicably bluffed quads.

“I felt like when I showed my hand I could see on his face that he was disgusted,” Bowker said. “I felt really confident that I was making the right fold anyway, and that just kind of confirmed it more.”

When asked about the price he was getting on making the call, Bowker said that in a cash game or a tournament that’s not the WSOP main event he likely would have found a call.

“I was getting an amazing price. You have to be over 95-percent sure to make the fold. But I was. I am playing with more confidence than normal because I just won [a bracelet]. I wouldn’t call myself a big hero folder in general, and I probably wouldn’t have made the fold in any other tournament or cash game, even if I thought he had the Q 10. I would be like, ’If you have the Q 10 you got me. In this tournament, and being that sure, I thought I could make the fold.”

Bowker ended up surviving to day 3 of the tournament with 132,200 in chips, which was slightly below average with more than 2,000 players remaining.

Bowker’s hand is similar to the time Russian poker player Mikhail Smirnov folded quad eights in the 2012 $1 million buy-in at the WSOP. Smirnov also put his opponent on a straight flush in spades, and to this day it appears to have been the correct lay down.

John Juanda folded quads at the final table of a recent high-stakes poker tournament. As it turns out, the 47-year-old poker pro made the wrong fold, as his opponent was bluffing.

Juanda held 66 for quad sixes on a board reading AA6A6, but was in danger of losing to a higher four-of-a-kind hand. He ultimately decided to fold his hand to Sergey Lebedev, who was playing the board with his KJ.

While Juanda incorrectly folded his four sixes, he managed to bounce back to win the tournament for a $613,600 payday. Juanda now has career live tournament earnings of more than $24.7 million.

The tournament in question was the $250,000 HKD ($31,866 USD) buy-in short-deck no-limit hold’em event. It attracted a total of 65 entrants, building a prize pool worth more than $1.9 million USD.

Check out a video clip of the wild hand that Triton Poker posted to their Twitter account below:

BLUFFEDOFFQUADS!!
Sergey Lebedev makes John Juanda fold Quads holding just a King, playing the board by representing the Ace in the HKD 250k Short Deck Ante-Only event!
Tune in to #TritonMontenegro2019 now: https://t.co/YD58raNsrvpic.twitter.com/jYJJbahJFf

— Triton Poker (@tritonpoker) May 15, 2019

In short-deck hold’em the deuces through fives of all suits are removed from the deck, which does result in quads being slightly less improbable, even through they are still quite rare.

Although Lebedev bluffed Juanda off of the best hand in this particular spot, he ultimately was eliminated in fifth place for $162,500 USD.

Peter Jetten finished fourth for $210,600 USD. This was his fourth final-table finish of the past week, all of which came in high-stakes events at the Triton Poker Super High Roller Series Montenegro. Jetten has cashed for over $1.9 million USD in the series, with his largest score being for more than $1.2 million, which he earned as the third-place finisher in the $1 million HKD ($127,465 USD) buy-in main event.

Jetten earned 252 Card Player Player of the Year points for his latest score. With six final-table finishes so far in 2019 and more than $4.1 million in year-to-date earnings, Jetten now sits in 16th place in the POY race standings, which are sponsored by Global Poker.

Wai Yong finished third for $279,500 USD. This was his seventh career cash, and it brought his lifetime earnings to more than $3.3 million. With Yong’s elimination, Juanda took 10.5 million into heads-up play against Canadian poker pro Daniel Dvoress, who sat with just shy of 9 million in chips.

The two battled it out for around 30 minutes before the final hand of the tournament was dealt. Dvoress picked up the AA and raised to 750,000 on the button. Juanda called with the QJ and the board came down K108 to give Juanda a flush, which beats even a full house in short deck poker.

Poker Quads Vs Quads

Dvoress had an overpair and the nut flush draw, but would only make the best hand by the river 13 percent of the time, given that the 2,3,4, and 5 have all been removed from the deck, and the 9 would give Juanda a straight flush.

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Juanda checked on the flop, Dvoress bet 500,000 and Juanda called. The turn was the K and both players checked. The 8 completed the board and Juanda checked a third time. Dvoress bet 1,500,000. Juanda moved all-in, having Dvoress covered. Dvoress went deep into the tank, and then made the call before being shown the bad news.

Dvoress took home $410,800 USD for his second-place finish. This was his eighth final table of the year, with more than $3.8 million in cashes along the way. He now sits in 12th place in the POY standings.

Here is a look at the payouts and POY points awarded at the final table:

Poker Quad Aces

Winner photo: Joe Giron / Poker Photo Archive.

Poker Quads Vs Full House